The Atlantic
President Joe Biden won the 2020 election by securing victories in the Rust Belt and Sun Belt, but his current poll numbers show a weakened position. Even a modest recovery in his support could put him in a winning position, but he faces challenges in securing the final 15 Electoral College votes needed. Biden’s odds may diminish if he cannot hold all three Rust Belt states he recaptured in 2020. His support among voters of color and white voters has shifted since 2020, impacting his standing in swing states. Democratic strategists believe Biden’s best route to victory involves holding Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and potentially winning Michigan. If Biden can’t win Michigan, his options for reaching 270 Electoral College votes become difficult. The Southwest states of Arizona and…